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November 19, 2024

After the Election: Denver Real Estate Outlook

Elections stir up housing predictions. Here's a level-headed look at what actually drives the Denver market into 2025.


Every election year, clients ask whether they should wait to see what the housing market does next. Here's a calm read heading into 2025.

Elections move headlines more than housing

Historically, presidential elections have had little lasting effect on home prices or sales. The forces that actually move the Denver market — rates, jobs, inventory, population — don't reset on election day.

What's genuinely worth watching

Mortgage rates have been choppy this fall, ticking back up into the mid-6s after the early-autumn dip. The path from here depends on inflation data and the bond market, not on campaign promises. Local jobs and Denver's steady in-migration remain the real fundamentals.

Inventory and the lock-in effect

The story that has defined 2024 carries into 2025: low inventory, owners reluctant to trade sub-4% loans, and life-event sellers driving most of the listings.

The advice

Don't time your move to a news cycle. Buy or sell when your own life and numbers say it's right. Denver's long-run trajectory has been remarkably steady through far bigger events than an election.

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